Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 14.064197 16.353057 18.838188 21.729430 24.992899 28.554510 32.727473
2025-10-26 10.086486 13.195944 16.911843 21.642863 27.465533 34.354566 43.074803
2025-11-02 7.656578 11.025657 15.372960 21.310616 29.114157 38.915610 52.036737
2025-11-09 6.005206 9.402633 14.085648 20.871271 30.284942 42.694229 60.062362
2025-11-16 4.795690 8.107408 12.953144 20.352704 31.113795 45.899843 67.388612
2025-11-23 3.803987 6.924235 11.756836 19.507534 31.279421 48.074682 73.321727
2025-11-30 3.369377 6.526930 11.654276 20.215275 33.682276 53.482208 84.050977
2025-12-07 3.011314 6.186452 11.575582 20.913909 36.081184 58.993813 95.222727
2025-12-14 2.522950 5.523483 10.863341 20.486396 36.647066 61.754412 102.437208
2025-12-21 2.101980 4.904561 10.131871 19.920302 36.897844 63.991040 108.922867
2025-12-28 1.948149 4.781927 10.266542 20.847911 39.662716 70.308984 122.036129
2026-01-04 1.791510 4.624373 10.310449 21.604079 42.173148 76.340789 134.987214
2026-01-11 1.561627 4.286540 10.002139 21.756120 43.781095 81.220970 146.755756
2026-01-18 1.351923 3.956100 9.671729 21.848782 45.328768 86.171231 159.063802
2026-01-25 1.141195 3.573802 9.172522 21.544850 46.110278 89.850552 169.458028
2026-02-01 0.955197 3.206710 8.643905 21.106688 46.578736 92.983862 179.066875
2026-02-08 0.794557 2.864167 8.110958 20.584013 46.816173 95.689260 188.046654
2026-02-15 0.642787 2.502248 7.466894 19.730746 46.301436 96.963279 194.537358
2026-02-22 0.591268 2.430866 7.524272 20.445432 49.018154 104.363431 212.340584
2026-03-01 0.544337 2.361953 7.576615 21.150865 51.763520 111.961401 230.855986
2026-03-08 0.457768 2.133132 7.168204 20.719199 52.059217 114.883184 240.909935
2026-03-15 0.379835 1.907868 6.726951 20.147586 51.990687 117.072134 249.680378
2026-03-22 0.359187 1.893602 6.883847 21.084228 55.321839 126.146654 271.859955